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HVAC Technician shortage in Minnesota: the licensed-supply numbers
What the Minnesota register actually shows, by tier and per capita, updated nightly.
As of 2026-08-09, Minnesota carries 3,773 licensed HVAC technicians
on its state register, or 65.8 per 100,000 residents.
3,773
licensed HVAC technicians
65.8
per 100k residents
#19
density rank of 32
Minnesota does not issue a separate apprentice license for this trade, so no pipeline ratio is published here. The tier counts below are what the register itself records.
Against comparable states
States nearest Minnesota on licensed HVAC technicians per capita.
State
Licensed HVAC technicians
Per 100k
Minnesota
3,773
65.8
Virginia
6,658
76.4
Utah
2,378
69.6
Wisconsin
4,036
68.3
Florida
13,892
61.4
Arizona
4,307
58.0
Louisiana
2,113
46.2
Counts, not a capacity opinion. We publish the licensed supply and the pipeline
ratio; whether a market can absorb a given project is a judgement for the reader, not a claim we make.
Frequently asked
Is there a HVAC shortage in Minnesota?
Reporting on the shortage rarely states how many are actually licensed. Minnesota carries 3,773 licensed HVAC technicians on its register as of 2026-08-09, or 65.8 per 100,000 residents. Readers can weigh that supply against demand directly.
How many licensed HVAC technicians does Minnesota have?
3,773 on the state register as of 2026-08-09.
Where does the shortage narrative come from?
Industry analyses project national shortfalls of hundreds of thousands of skilled-trades workers against data-center and electrification demand. Those are demand-side estimates; the figure here is the licensed supply on the register today.
New licenses, ladder upgrades, classification changes and lapses, by market and credential tier. Read the quarterly free, or license the underlying data.